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Also this week, Bitcoins explained sort of. Are they the modern equivalent of the mythical tulip market? And it's been a bad week for retail, which only looks like getting worse. Share this article. Free Membership. Join Eureka Report today. Thank you. Sign up. Email is required. Email must be a valid email. Password is required. First name is required. Last name is required. Mobile phone number is required. Mobile phone number is invalid. You must accept the terms and conditions.
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We look forward to helping you build a market beating stock portfolio. Looking for more…. Intelligent Investor Membership. No thanks. Eureka Report - better access to what matters. Also, monetary policy will likely stay very loose for years, even as the central banks tighten. Join me for lunch We are putting on our first event! Investing and music go together like peanut butter and honey, in my book.
From the Horses' Mouths Direct quotes from those who make the decisions Local "Bank of Queensland is in really good shape. Conclusion: none of his policies would change the growth rate by more than a few tenths of a percentage point over the next decade Bundesbank has joined the Bank of England in explicitly stating that the treatment of banks and money creation in most textbooks is wrong and that banks are not intermediaries, transferring money from savers to investors, but rather creators of money.
Diversions The history of the Earth can be divided into five energy epochs , each featuring the evolution of life forms that can exploit a new source of energy: geochemical, sunlight, oxygen, flesh and fire. An amusing, terrifying comparison of the scandals of Trump and Obama.
And here it is. The gains in Australian shares were relatively constrained though by ongoing worries about the banks, retail shares and weakness in the iron ore price. The past week saw terrorism rear its ugly head again this time in Manchester in the UK and our thoughts are with those affected.
Despite some fears to the contrary, the financial market impact proved yet again to be minor with UK shares only falling 0. So while terrorism is horrible for those affected, it would need to cause more damage to economic infrastructure to have a significant economic impact and hence a significant impact on investment markets. Moody's downgrading of China's sovereign credit rating from Aa3 to A1 is unlikely to have much impact.
China's debt problems are well known with China's policy makers seeking to restrain debt, most investment in Chinese bonds is internally sourced and China is not dependent on foreign capital being the world's largest credit nation. So it chose the middle path.
President Trump's fuller budget request released in the last week is best ignored. As always Congress will put the budget together - Trump doesn't even need to sign it off. The latest Australian bank rating downgrades tell us nothing new but the drip feed of negative news around the property market in Sydney and Melbourne is continuing to mount: surging unit supply, bank rate hikes, tightening lending standards, reduced property investor tax deductions, ever tighter restrictions around foreign buyers, etc.
Our view remains that home price growth has peaked in Sydney and Melbourne and that price declines lie ahead, particularly for units. The extent of the unit construction boom in Sydney is highlighted by the residential crane count which has increased from just 62 in September to in March. However, the Australian share market looks likely to continue underperforming going forward reflecting weaker growth prospects in Australia - with the economy looking like it may have stalled again in the March quarter, the housing cycle peaking and turning down, constraints on consumer spending high debt, higher bank lending rates, slowing wealth affects, rising energy costs, record low wages growth and high underemployment, risks around the banks and uncertainty around the outlook for bulk commodity prices.
We still see the ASX higher by year end, but global shares are likely to do better on both a hedged and particularly unhedged basis. Meanwhile home sales fell, but home prices continued to rise. The main dampeners were weaker than expected trade and inventory data which will constrain the growth rebound in the current quarter. The minutes from the last Fed meeting confirmed that the Fed is likely to hike rates again in June and looks to be on track to start running down its balance sheet ie, reversing quantitative easing from later this year by letting a gradual amount of maturing bonds roll off each month.
Rate hikes and balance sheet reduction all remain conditional on the economy continuing to behave though. Eurozone business conditions PMIs remained very strong in April and business confidence rose in Germany and France which is all consistent with strengthening growth in Europe. Japanese inflation rose slightly in April, but with core inflation still zero, the Bank of Japan is set to continue quantitative easing and its zero 10 year bond yield policy for a long time.
Australian economic events and implications Australian March quarter construction data fell, adding to the downside risks to March quarter GDP growth. Weak March quarter construction activity along with very weak retail sales and a likely growth detraction from net exports highlights that absent an upside surprise in public spending, equipment investment or inventories March quarter GDP growth looks likely to be near zero with the risk of another contraction.
Reflecting this along with ongoing softness in underlying inflationary pressures, there is far more risk of another RBA rate cut by year end than a rate hike. What to watch over the next week? The ISM is likely to have remained solid at around 55 and jobs data is likely to have remained strong with a , rise in payroll employment and unemployment remaining unchanged at 4.
In other releases, expect solid growth in April consumer spending but a fall back in inflation as measured by the core personal consumption deflator to 1. Eurozone business and consumer confidence readings for May Tuesday are expected to remain solid and unemployment Wednesday is likely to have fallen to 9.
Japanese jobs data for April is expected to remain solid - helped of course by a falling workforce, but household spending data is likely to remain weak all due Tuesday and industrial production data Wednesday is likely to show a bounce. Of most interest in the investment data will be investment intentions which are expected to show some improvement in non-mining investment.
Shares are likely to trend higher on a month horizon. Low yields and capital losses from a gradual rise in bond yields are likely to see low returns from sovereign bonds. Unlisted commercial property and infrastructure are likely to continue benefitting from the ongoing search for yield, but this demand will wane as bond yields trend higher. National residential property price gains are expected to slow, as the heat comes out of Sydney and Melbourne. Cash and bank deposits are likely to continue to provide poor returns, with term deposit rates running around 2.
Next Week By Craig James, CommSec Business investment and retail sales in focus After a hiatus over the past week, the domestic economic data releases are back in focus. More than half-a-dozen key releases are scheduled and around a dozen events will dominate attention overseas. In March, dwelling approvals fell by The data tends to be volatile on a monthly basis and the trend data is probably more interesting.
In trend terms, approvals rose by 0. For the record we expect approvals to rebound by 5 per cent in April. Confidence levels have risen for three out of the past four weeks. However it is clear that Aussie consumers are just feeling OK. The latest job figures are likely to be offset by the media discussion on the budget measures, with consumers wondering what the bank levy means for them.
On Wednesday , the Reserve Bank releases data on private sector credit broadly, outstanding loans. Annual credit growth is holding near 5 per cent — essentially remaining near 3-year lows. Arguably the most important release from the ABS will be the March quarter estimates on business investment. This data is also an input into the calculation of economic growth.
But also insightful are the estimates of planned investment for the coming year. In the December quarter investment fell by 2. The Reserve Bank will be interested in estimates of non-mining investment.
In addition, the ABS will release the monthly retail trade data on Thursday. No doubt the latest figures will garner plenty of interest given the slowdown in retail activity in the past couple of months. For the record we expect that retail sales rebounded by 0. By all accounts home prices are starting to show more sedate growth, given the tighter lending restrictions adopted by the banks.
The CoreLogic daily home price index indicates that home prices have fallen by around 1 per cent in May. On Friday the Housing Industry Association releases figures on new home sales. Overseas: US jobs data pivotal to rate outlook After a holiday weekend, a big slate of US economic data awaits investors on Tuesday. And gauges of manufacturing and services activity are due for release in China. The week begins on Tuesday with US data on personal income and spending, consumer confidence and the Case-Shiller measure of home prices.
Both personal income and spending are expected to post firm 0. At the same time data will probably show home prices rising at a near 6 per cent annual rate while consumer confidence may have eased further from year highs due to increased political uncertainty. Fed policymakers regard the survey results as a valuable input to their rate setting decisions.
Also in the US on Wednesday the usual weekly data on mortgage applications is released together with data on pending home sales and the influential Chicago purchasing managers index. In China on Wednesday, the National Bureau of Statistics will release the results of purchasing manager surveys covering both the manufacturing and services sectors.
As is the case in the US, the services sector is in the strongest shape of the two sectors. On Thursday the private sector Chinese Caixin survey of the manufacturing sector is released with the services sector survey on June 5. On Thursday in the US the usual weekly data on claims for unemployment insurance is released together with the ISM manufacturing index, construction spending, the ADP National Employment index, new vehicle sales data and the Challenger job layoffs series.
Economists expect that , jobs were created in May, down from , jobs in April. But analysts forecast a modest lift in the jobless rate to 4. Overall these results could temper Federal Reserve policymakers from lifting rates again in June.
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Trader comparison. Home - Trader comparison - plusvs-bell-potter. Broker comparison between Plus vs Bell Potter Do you want to figure out which is the better broker, plus or bell-potter? Wikifx rating Basic Information Benchmark Account. WikiFX Score. Transaction environment rating. Trading slippage. Disconnection results. Which broker is more reliable?
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Ethereum ico platform us regulations | Market conditions. Disconnection results. Alternatives to Bell Direct Bell Direct may not be the ideal platform for you if you want access to overseas investment products. Plus is a trademark of Plus Ltd. Bell potter cryptocurrency you enjoy it! The content of this website shall be governed by the law of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of the People's Republic of China "Hong Kong" and you agree to submit to the exclusive jurisdiction of the Hong Kong courts. Bell Potter currently holds a full license from ASIC in Australia, which is known to have a high reputation globally and regulates financial brokers stringently. |
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The published content is also based on fairness, objectivity and fact. WikiFX doesn't ask for PR fees, advertising fees, ranking fees, data cleaning fees and other illogical fees. WikiFX will do its utmost to maintain the consistency and synchronization of database with authoritative data sources such as regulatory authorities, but does not guarantee the data to be up to date consistently. Given the complexity of forex industry, some brokers are issued legal licenses by cheating regulation institutes.
If the data published by WikiFX are not in accordance with the fact, please click 'Complaints 'and 'Correction' to inform us. We will check immediately and release the results. Foreign exchange, precious metals and over-the-counter OTC contracts are leveraged products, which have high risks and may lead to losses of your investment principal. Please invest rationally.
Special Note, the content of the Wikifx site is for information purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. The Forex broker is chosen by the client. The client understands and takes into account all risks arising with Forex trading is not relevant with WikiFX, the client should bear full responsibility for their consequences.
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Bell Potter is one of Australia's largest full-service financial advisory firms. Visit us online to learn more about our stock market advisory services. As one of Australia's largest stockbroking firms, Bell Potter provides a full range of services to institutional, corporate and private clients. Crypto currencies have been booming since We compare Bell Potter Securities.